Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Adriana Tkachenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Sagandikova has won 39.7% of points on their second serve in recent months, slightly less effective than Tkachenko's 40.96%. Does this give Tkachenko a serving advantage? It seems so.
• In return games, Sagandikova won 46.39% of opponents' second serve points, whereas Tkachenko achieved 48.68%. This highlights Tkachenko's slight edge in returning.
• For first serve returns, Sagandikova's rate stood at 30.39%, while Tkachenko managed 36.26%. Is Tkachenko's return prowess a deciding factor here? Possibly.
• Under pressure, Sagandikova saved 49.74% of breakpoints compared to Tkachenko's 43.55%. Could Sagandikova maintain composure better in critical moments? The stats suggest so.
• In match outcomes over the past year, Sagandikova has a 47.73% win rate, whereas Tkachenko has a notably higher 62.16% rate, indicating a stronger recent form for Tkachenko.
• Analyzing surface proficiency, Sagandikova excels on clay with a 52% win rate, while Tkachenko has their best record on hard courts at 60%. Does surface choice matter here? Absolutely.
• Sagandikova has participated mainly in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events, winning 50% of matches, while Tkachenko won 66.67% in similar events, highlighting Tkachenko's stronger performance at this level.
• When looking at opponent quality, Sagandikova's average opponent rank was 361.61 compared to Tkachenko's 86.62. Does Tkachenko face tougher competition? The rankings suggest Tkachenko does.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Sagandikova's success rate is 33%, whereas Tkachenko's is 56%, favoring Tkachenko in closely contested matches.
• Sagandikova converted 38.14% of breakpoints, slightly less than Tkachenko's 44.19%, which might suggest who can make the most of crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (August 12, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent second serve performance, Tkachenko narrowly outperforms Sagandikova, hinting at a subtle serving advantage. This could play a critical role in match outcomes, as the correlation between serve statistics and match results is significant.

When examining return statistics, Tkachenko again shows slightly better figures in both first and second serve returns. This consistent pattern suggests Tkachenko may have a slight edge in breaking down Sagandikova's serve, an essential factor in competitive tennis.

Sagandikova's breakpoint saving ability may offer some resilience under pressure, yet Tkachenko's higher overall win rate and success against tougher competitors paints a picture of current superiority.

Beyond just the recent performance, Tkachenko's strength on hard courts further intensifies their position as the favorite, especially if these matches align with the surface at this event.

While Sagandikova shows strength in certain areas, overall statistical analysis leans towards Tkachenko having a better chance of taking this match, considering their broader consistency and slightly better performance metrics in key areas.

With all data points considered, Tkachenko is tipped to be the likely winner of this upcoming match.